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All Economy
Economy
24 events
Events
+ Combo
EU debt downgrade before 2027?
Chance
26%
Yes
26¢
No
75¢
$1K Vol.
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
1.1m
86%
Yes
No
1.2m
53%
Yes
No
1.3m
29%
Yes
No
1.4m
10%
Yes
No
$175K Vol.
+ Combo
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?
Chance
16%
Yes
16¢
No
85¢
$20 Vol.
+ Combo
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
Chance
7%
Yes
7¢
No
93¢
$9K Vol.
+ Combo
ECB rate cut in 2026?
Chance
13%
Yes
13¢
No
88¢
$30K Vol.
Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by July 31?
↓ 1.4M
2%
Yes
No
↓ 1.6M
1%
Yes
No
↓ 1.5M
1%
Yes
No
$31K Vol.
+ Combo
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?
Chance
7%
Yes
7¢
No
93¢
$10K Vol.
+ Combo
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
Chance
1%
Yes
1¢
No
100¢
$155K Vol.
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Andy Jassy - Amazon
10%
Yes
No
Sam Altman - OpenAI
10%
Yes
No
Dan Clancy - Twitch
8%
Yes
No
Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
7%
Yes
No
$709K Vol.
India Annual Inflation 2026
3.00% to 3.74%
40%
Yes
No
4.50%+
33%
Yes
No
3.75% to 4.49%
27%
Yes
No
1.50% to 2.24%
13%
Yes
No
$65K Vol.
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
4.00% to 4.49%
51%
Yes
No
3.50% to 3.99%
19%
Yes
No
4.50% to 4.99%
14%
Yes
No
5.00% to 5.49%
8%
Yes
No
$47K Vol.
+ Combo
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
Chance
28%
Yes
28¢
No
73¢
$17K Vol.
Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
2.0-2.4%
64%
Yes
No
≤1.9%
12%
Yes
No
4.0%+
7%
Yes
No
2.5-2.9%
7%
Yes
No
$22K Vol.
US Trade Deficit in 2026?
800–900B
48%
Yes
No
700–800B
26%
Yes
No
900B–1T
19%
Yes
No
600–700B
9%
Yes
No
$24K Vol.
+ Combo
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?
Chance
19%
Yes
19¢
No
81¢
$52K Vol.
+ Combo
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Chance
7%
Yes
7¢
No
93¢
$122K Vol.
+ Combo
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
Chance
19%
Yes
19¢
No
81¢
$12K Vol.
+ Combo
US defaults on debt by 2027?
Chance
3%
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
$16K Vol.
Peak US National Debt before 2027?
$40 trillion
97%
Yes
No
$41 trillion
42%
Yes
No
$42 trillion
4%
Yes
No
$12K Vol.
+ Combo
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?
Chance
3%
Yes
3¢
No
98¢
$2K Vol.
Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
0.6%–0.8%
52%
Yes
No
0.3%–0.5%
44%
Yes
No
0.0%–0.2%
16%
Yes
No
1.2%–1.4%
12%
Yes
No
$20K Vol.
+ Combo
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
Chance
12%
Yes
12¢
No
88¢
$2K Vol.
Bank of Korea decision in August?
No Change
75%
Yes
No
25 bps hike
26%
Yes
No
25 bps cut
0%
Yes
No
50+ bps hike
0%
Yes
No
$12K Vol.
Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by...?
December 31, 2027
89%
Yes
No
June 30, 2027
52%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
25%
Yes
No
$585 Vol.
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