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All Science
Science
24 events
Events
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
September 30
3%
Yes
No
$63.6M Vol.
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
↑3k
91%
Yes
No
↑3.5k
73%
Yes
No
↑4k
37%
Yes
No
↑5k
16%
Yes
No
$7.8M Vol.
+ Combo
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Chance
1%
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
$781K Vol.
+ Combo
New pandemic in 2026?
Chance
9%
Yes
9¢
No
91¢
$954K Vol.
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX
87%
Yes
No
Anthropic
14%
Yes
No
OpenAI
1%
Yes
No
ByteDance
0%
Yes
No
$4.9M Vol.
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
2
54%
Yes
No
1
44%
Yes
No
3
1%
Yes
No
4
0%
Yes
No
$3.2M Vol.
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
1st hottest
70%
Yes
No
3rd hottest
18%
Yes
No
2nd hottest
11%
Yes
No
4th or lower
1%
Yes
No
$130K Vol.
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?
1
56%
Yes
No
2
32%
Yes
No
3
11%
Yes
No
4
2%
Yes
No
$23K Vol.
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?
>13
38%
Yes
No
12
14%
Yes
No
13
14%
Yes
No
10
13%
Yes
No
$17K Vol.
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.20–1.24ºC
77%
Yes
No
1.15–1.19ºC
20%
Yes
No
1.25–1.29ºC
4%
Yes
No
<1.10ºC
1%
Yes
No
$51K Vol.
+ Combo
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Chance
7%
Yes
7¢
No
93¢
$257K Vol.
Precipitation in NYC in July?
5-6"
38%
Yes
No
>6"
36%
Yes
No
4-5"
30%
Yes
No
3-4"
0%
Yes
No
$42K Vol.
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?
7500+
54%
Yes
No
10000+
5%
Yes
No
$39K Vol.
Measles cases in U.S. by July 31?
2350
90%
Yes
No
2380
37%
Yes
No
2400
6%
Yes
No
$56K Vol.
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 29, 2026?
<0.1
59%
Yes
No
0.1
42%
Yes
No
>0.1
3%
Yes
No
$4K Vol.
+ Combo
Human moon landing in 2026?
Chance
1%
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
$2.0M Vol.
Precipitation in London in July?
<30mm
99%
Yes
No
70-80mm
1%
Yes
No
30-40mm
1%
Yes
No
40-50mm
0%
Yes
No
$12K Vol.
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
160-179
66%
Yes
No
140-159
27%
Yes
No
180-199
6%
Yes
No
200 or more
5%
Yes
No
$320K Vol.
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
14–16
47%
Yes
No
17–19
25%
Yes
No
11–13
21%
Yes
No
20+
7%
Yes
No
$1.4M Vol.
+ Combo
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Chance
14%
Yes
14¢
No
87¢
$229K Vol.
Precipitation in Seattle in July?
<0.5"
93%
Yes
No
0.5-1"
9%
Yes
No
1-1.5"
3%
Yes
No
1.5-2"
3%
Yes
No
$5K Vol.
+ Combo
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
Chance
4%
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
$122K Vol.
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
1250+
87%
Yes
No
1200–1249
5%
Yes
No
1150–1199
3%
Yes
No
1100–1149
3%
Yes
No
$80K Vol.
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?
<100
39%
Yes
No
130–159
35%
Yes
No
100–129
33%
Yes
No
160–189
17%
Yes
No
$3K Vol.
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