Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Question

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for December 2026, currently scheduled for December 8-9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no December meeting takes place by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".

Emergency rate cuts will qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Accepted Answer

Currently 15% chance YES, based on live trading odds on PredictFi.

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

More from "Fed rate cut by...?"

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

More from "Fed rate cut by...?"