Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 29?

Question

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Accepted Answer

Currently 9% chance YES, based on live trading odds on PredictFi.

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 29?

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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 29?

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