Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?

Question

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 20, 2026.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.

For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.html

Accepted Answer

Currently 13% chance YES, based on live trading odds on PredictFi.

Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?

More from "China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?"

Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?

More from "China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?"