Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Gonzalo?

Question

This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other".

A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named.

All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml).

This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.

Accepted Answer

Currently 4% chance YES, based on live trading odds on PredictFi.

Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Gonzalo?

More from "What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?"

Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Gonzalo?

More from "What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?"