Will the US add at least 200k jobs in July?

Question

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for July 2026, scheduled to be released on August 7, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm

Accepted Answer

Currently 13% chance YES, based on live trading odds on PredictFi.

Will the US add at least 200k jobs in July?

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Will the US add at least 200k jobs in July?

More from "How many jobs added in July?"