Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Question

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Accepted Answer

Resolved NO.

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

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Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

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