Will there be at least 15,000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?

Question

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis in humans in the territory of the United States of America since May 1, 2026, according to the CDC surveillance count by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Surveillance of Cyclosporiasis page’s “U.S. cases reported to CDC” count (see: https://www.cdc.gov/cyclosporiasis/php/surveillance/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC as confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources. Travel-associated cases acquired outside the United States will not qualify.

Accepted Answer

Currently 52% chance YES, based on live trading odds on PredictFi.

Will there be at least 15,000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?

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Will there be at least 15,000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?

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