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All Politics
Politics
24 events
Events
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
December 31
14%
Yes
No
August 31
3%
Yes
No
$904K Vol.
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
December 31
8%
Yes
No
$2.0M Vol.
Clacton by-election Winner
Nigel Farage
97%
Yes
No
Count Binface
3%
Yes
No
Giles Watling
0%
Yes
No
Jovan Owusu-Nepaul
0%
Yes
No
$2.9M Vol.
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
September 30
3%
Yes
No
$63.6M Vol.
Netanyahu out by...?
December 31
40%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
$123.8M Vol.
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
13%
Yes
No
October 31
6%
Yes
No
August 31
3%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
$17.6M Vol.
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?
December 31
9%
Yes
No
September 30
4%
Yes
No
$2.2M Vol.
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 31
89%
Yes
No
September 30
86%
Yes
No
August 31
6%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
$224K Vol.
US strike on Mexico by...?
December 31
12%
Yes
No
$3.4M Vol.
What will happen before GTA VI?
New Rihanna Album
51%
Yes
No
New Playboi Carti Album
51%
Yes
No
China invades Taiwan
51%
Yes
No
GPT-6 released
51%
Yes
No
$23.5M Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 31
36%
Yes
No
October 31
17%
Yes
No
August 31
7%
Yes
No
$5.7M Vol.
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party
86%
Yes
No
Republican Party
14%
Yes
No
$8.9M Vol.
Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?
800-839
58%
Yes
No
840-879
28%
Yes
No
760-799
8%
Yes
No
880-919
5%
Yes
No
$1.1M Vol.
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham Nordone
74%
Yes
No
Ralph Norman
21%
Yes
No
Russell Fry
6%
Yes
No
Mark Lynch
1%
Yes
No
$454K Vol.
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
Shutdown & Democratic Party
86%
Yes
No
Shutdown & Republican Party
14%
Yes
No
$329K Vol.
+ Combo
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Chance
54%
Yes
54¢
No
46¢
$826K Vol.
+ Combo
Trump out as President before 2027?
Chance
8%
Yes
8¢
No
93¢
$10.3M Vol.
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 31
13%
Yes
No
July 31
1%
Yes
No
$1.3M Vol.
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Yulia Navalnaya
11%
Yes
No
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
7%
Yes
No
UNRWA
5%
Yes
No
Pope Leo XIV
4%
Yes
No
$23.0M Vol.
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
June 30, 2027
45%
Yes
No
December 31
14%
Yes
No
September 30
5%
Yes
No
$3.2M Vol.
+ Combo
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
Chance
7%
Yes
7¢
No
93¢
$271K Vol.
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?
December 31
56%
Yes
No
September 30
20%
Yes
No
$898K Vol.
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by...?
July 31
1%
Yes
No
$507K Vol.
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio Bolsonaro
78%
Yes
No
Renan Santos
12%
Yes
No
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
5%
Yes
No
Fernando Haddad
1%
Yes
No
$4.3M Vol.
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