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All Science
Science
12 events
Events
+ Combo
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
Chance
14%
Yes
14¢
No
87¢
$72K Vol.
+ Combo
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
Chance
4%
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
$596 Vol.
+ Combo
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
Chance
16%
Yes
16¢
No
84¢
$4K Vol.
+ Combo
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?
Chance
39%
Yes
39¢
No
61¢
$1K Vol.
+ Combo
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
Chance
90%
Yes
90¢
No
10¢
$513 Vol.
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
June 30, 2027
54%
Yes
No
December 31, 2027
53%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
12%
Yes
No
$872K Vol.
+ Combo
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
Chance
4%
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
$18K Vol.
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
December 31
50%
Yes
No
October 31
40%
Yes
No
August 30
34%
Yes
No
$4K Vol.
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
December 31
44%
Yes
No
August 30
44%
Yes
No
October 31
36%
Yes
No
$1K Vol.
+ Combo
FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch?
Chance
66%
Yes
66¢
No
34¢
$5K Vol.
+ Combo
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
Chance
5%
Yes
5¢
No
95¢
$9K Vol.
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?
600mm+
100%
Yes
No
<400mm
0%
Yes
No
400-425mm
0%
Yes
No
425-450mm
0%
Yes
No
$51K Vol.
