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Tech
24 events
Events
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31
18%
Yes
No
September 30
9%
Yes
No
$886K Vol.
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?
1550
96%
Yes
No
1575
66%
Yes
No
1600
26%
Yes
No
$99K Vol.
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1480+
87%
Yes
No
1490+
83%
Yes
No
1495+
56%
Yes
No
1510+
37%
Yes
No
$63K Vol.
Which company has the third best AI model end of July?
Anthropic
99%
Yes
No
OpenAI
0%
Yes
No
Alibaba
0%
Yes
No
Google
0%
Yes
No
$133K Vol.
Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Anthropic
87%
Yes
No
Google
7%
Yes
No
OpenAI
6%
Yes
No
Meta
1%
Yes
No
$30K Vol.
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of July?
Anthropic
99%
Yes
No
Google
0%
Yes
No
Moonshot
0%
Yes
No
OpenAI
0%
Yes
No
$379K Vol.
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
#10
98%
Yes
No
#5
39%
Yes
No
#3
23%
Yes
No
#1
11%
Yes
No
$115K Vol.
Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
Alibaba
57%
Yes
No
Moonshot
29%
Yes
No
Z.ai
7%
Yes
No
DeepSeek
4%
Yes
No
$35K Vol.
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by July 31
97%
Yes
No
July 29
1%
Yes
No
July 31
1%
Yes
No
July 30
0%
Yes
No
$377K Vol.
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in July 2026?
4
75%
Yes
No
5+
26%
Yes
No
<3
0%
Yes
No
3
0%
Yes
No
$45K Vol.
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of August?
Anthropic
81%
Yes
No
Google
14%
Yes
No
OpenAI
7%
Yes
No
Baidu
1%
Yes
No
$25K Vol.
#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?
Bad Bunny
13%
Yes
No
Erling Haaland
12%
Yes
No
Donald Trump
10%
Yes
No
Sabrina Carpenter
5%
Yes
No
$85K Vol.
What will Procter & Gamble say during their next earnings call?
Portfolio
97%
Yes
No
China
97%
Yes
No
Fiscal 10+ times
97%
Yes
No
Quarter 10+ times
97%
Yes
No
$24K Vol.
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
MGM Resorts
62%
Yes
No
PayPal
59%
Yes
No
Brown-Forman
36%
Yes
No
Perplexity AI
27%
Yes
No
$18.1M Vol.
Third-best AI Lab end of August?
Meta
68%
Yes
No
DeepSeek
30%
Yes
No
Alibaba
18%
Yes
No
Google
16%
Yes
No
$17K Vol.
Will Claude go down on __ days in July?
9-11
83%
Yes
No
12+
18%
Yes
No
$82K Vol.
+ Combo
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Chance
11%
Yes
11¢
No
90¢
$596K Vol.
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
September 30
73%
Yes
No
August 31
43%
Yes
No
July 31
1%
Yes
No
$80K Vol.
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
Anthropic
65%
Yes
No
OpenAI
28%
Yes
No
MiniMax
14%
Yes
No
Nvidia
13%
Yes
No
$17K Vol.
+ Combo
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
Chance
13%
Yes
13¢
No
88¢
$28K Vol.
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
Alibaba
53%
Yes
No
Moonshot
38%
Yes
No
Z.ai
8%
Yes
No
Baidu
6%
Yes
No
$15K Vol.
GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?
$2.00-$2.50
35%
Yes
No
$1.50-$2.00
21%
Yes
No
$2.50-$3.00
20%
Yes
No
<$1.50
13%
Yes
No
$28K Vol.
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?
Anthropic
81%
Yes
No
OpenAI
11%
Yes
No
Z.ai
9%
Yes
No
Moonshot
4%
Yes
No
$21K Vol.
What will Apple say during their next earnings call?
iPhone 10+ times
98%
Yes
No
China
98%
Yes
No
AI / Artificial Intelligence 5+ times
97%
Yes
No
Health
96%
Yes
No
$13K Vol.
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