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Tech
24 events
Events
+ Combo
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
Chance
57%
Yes
57¢
No
43¢
$8K Vol.
+ Combo
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Chance
60%
Yes
60¢
No
40¢
$120K Vol.
+ Combo
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
Chance
15%
Yes
15¢
No
85¢
$25K Vol.
Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
79%
Yes
No
Z.ai
14%
Yes
No
DeepSeek
14%
Yes
No
SpaceXAI
13%
Yes
No
$2K Vol.
Third-best AI Lab end of September?
Google
22%
Yes
No
Meituan
19%
Yes
No
Mistral
18%
Yes
No
OpenAI
18%
Yes
No
$3K Vol.
Next Claude Haiku released by...?
October 31
70%
Yes
No
December 31
70%
Yes
No
August 31
31%
Yes
No
$4K Vol.
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
December 31
15%
Yes
No
$106K Vol.
+ Combo
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Chance
17%
Yes
17¢
No
84¢
$62K Vol.
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?
75%
95%
Yes
No
80%
74%
Yes
No
85%
32%
Yes
No
90%
13%
Yes
No
$11K Vol.
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
None in 2026
78%
Yes
No
Anthropic
11%
Yes
No
Google
7%
Yes
No
OpenAI
2%
Yes
No
$110K Vol.
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
December 31
70%
Yes
No
July 31
1%
Yes
No
$961K Vol.
GTA VI: PS5 Launch Price
$60+
97%
Yes
No
$70+
97%
Yes
No
$80+
7%
Yes
No
$65K Vol.
+ Combo
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Chance
18%
Yes
18¢
No
83¢
$101K Vol.
Satoshi's identity be proven by...?
December 31
4%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
$2.0M Vol.
Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
DeepSeek
33%
Yes
No
Xiaomi
33%
Yes
No
ByteDance
19%
Yes
No
$9K Vol.
Discord IPO by __?
November 30
39%
Yes
No
December 31
33%
Yes
No
October 31
28%
Yes
No
September 30
7%
Yes
No
$2K Vol.
+ Combo
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
Chance
2%
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
$30K Vol.
#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)
Nvidia
45%
Yes
No
Tencent
42%
Yes
No
StepFun
41%
Yes
No
Amazon
40%
Yes
No
$3K Vol.
+ Combo
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
Chance
17%
Yes
17¢
No
83¢
$18K Vol.
+ Combo
GPU rental prices (B200) Up or Down in July?
Chance
97%
Yes
97¢
No
3¢
$1K Vol.
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Google
40%
Yes
No
SpaceXAI
35%
Yes
No
Bytedance
34%
Yes
No
Amazon
33%
Yes
No
$2K Vol.
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?
TikTok Pro - Events
39%
Yes
No
Google Gemini
38%
Yes
No
Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace
38%
Yes
No
Netflix Game Controller
37%
Yes
No
$988 Vol.
Which company has #1 AI model end of August? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
90%
Yes
No
Google
8%
Yes
No
OpenAI
2%
Yes
No
Moonshot
0%
Yes
No
$14K Vol.
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by...?
December 31
14%
Yes
No
$25K Vol.
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