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All Economy
Economy
24 events
Events
2nd Largest Company end of August?
Apple
52%
Yes
No
NVIDIA
40%
Yes
No
Alphabet
11%
Yes
No
Microsoft
0%
Yes
No
$51K Vol.
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
3.7%
13%
Yes
No
3.8%
12%
Yes
No
3.5%
11%
Yes
No
3.0%
10%
Yes
No
$222K Vol.
Bank of Brazil decision in August?
25 bps decrease
89%
Yes
No
No Change
12%
Yes
No
50+ bps decrease
1%
Yes
No
50+ bps increase
0%
Yes
No
$184K Vol.
July Inflation US - Monthly
≥0.1%
51%
Yes
No
0.0%
36%
Yes
No
-0.1%
7%
Yes
No
≤-0.7%
1%
Yes
No
$64K Vol.
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%
35%
Yes
No
↓ 3.25%
11%
Yes
No
↑ 4.5%
8%
Yes
No
↓ 3.0%
7%
Yes
No
$1.7M Vol.
What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on September 30?
$345K+
50%
Yes
No
$340K - $345K
33%
Yes
No
$335K - $340K
12%
Yes
No
$325K - $330K
2%
Yes
No
$46K Vol.
Bank of England decision in September?
No change
74%
Yes
No
25 bps increase
22%
Yes
No
50+ bps increase
0%
Yes
No
50+ bps decrease
0%
Yes
No
$76K Vol.
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
300M
98%
Yes
No
285M
68%
Yes
No
270M
8%
Yes
No
255M
4%
Yes
No
$30K Vol.
South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?
2.5–2.9%
37%
Yes
No
3.0–3.4%
34%
Yes
No
2.0–2.4%
24%
Yes
No
<2.0%
8%
Yes
No
$20K Vol.
Bank of Russia decision in September?
No Change
71%
Yes
No
Decrease
29%
Yes
No
Increase
3%
Yes
No
$45K Vol.
ECB Interest Rates: September 2026
25 bps increase
81%
Yes
No
No change
17%
Yes
No
50+ bps increase
3%
Yes
No
25 bps decrease
0%
Yes
No
$147K Vol.
Bank of Canada Decision in September?
No Change
97%
Yes
No
25 bps increase
2%
Yes
No
50+ bps decrease
2%
Yes
No
25 bps decrease
1%
Yes
No
$23K Vol.
How high will inflation get in 2026?
Above 4.5%
24%
Yes
No
Above 5%
14%
Yes
No
Above 6%
5%
Yes
No
Above 10%
3%
Yes
No
$1.3M Vol.
US effective tariff rate for Q2 2026?
5%+
94%
Yes
No
6%+
93%
Yes
No
7%+
81%
Yes
No
8%+
21%
Yes
No
$14K Vol.
US economic state at the end of 2026?
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
59%
Yes
No
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
21%
Yes
No
Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
10%
Yes
No
Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
3%
Yes
No
$60K Vol.
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
4.8%
30%
Yes
No
5.0%
14%
Yes
No
5.2%
5%
Yes
No
5.5%
4%
Yes
No
$261K Vol.
Bank of Israel Decision in September?
No Change
75%
Yes
No
Decrease
22%
Yes
No
Increase
2%
Yes
No
$19K Vol.
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in September?
Increase
86%
Yes
No
No Change
12%
Yes
No
Decrease
0%
Yes
No
$15K Vol.
Bank of Mexico Decision in August?
No change
91%
Yes
No
25 bps decrease
6%
Yes
No
50+ bps increase
1%
Yes
No
25 bps increase
1%
Yes
No
$84K Vol.
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
1-2%
50%
Yes
No
0-1%
49%
Yes
No
<0
3%
Yes
No
3-4%
1%
Yes
No
$60K Vol.
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
No Change
95%
Yes
No
25 bps decrease
3%
Yes
No
25 bps increase
3%
Yes
No
50+ bps increase
2%
Yes
No
$11K Vol.
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
December 31
20%
Yes
No
July 31
1%
Yes
No
$428K Vol.
Bank of Brazil decision in September?
25 bps decrease
51%
Yes
No
No Change
42%
Yes
No
50+ bps increase
2%
Yes
No
50+ bps decrease
1%
Yes
No
$34K Vol.
Bank of England decision in July?
No change
99%
Yes
No
25 bps increase
1%
Yes
No
50+ bps decrease
0%
Yes
No
25 bps decrease
0%
Yes
No
$83K Vol.
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