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All Economy
Economy
24 events
Events
China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0%
87%
Yes
No
5.0–6.0%
11%
Yes
No
3.0–4.0%
2%
Yes
No
6.0-7.0%
1%
Yes
No
$801K Vol.
What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?
<$1.176M
74%
Yes
No
$1.176M - $1.198M
14%
Yes
No
$1.198M - $1.220M
7%
Yes
No
$1.220M - $1.242M
5%
Yes
No
$14K Vol.
USD x Iranian rials End of July?
1.9M+
74%
Yes
No
1.8-1.9M
22%
Yes
No
1.7-1.8M
4%
Yes
No
1.6-1.7M
3%
Yes
No
$46K Vol.
Reserve Bank of India decision in August
No Change
73%
Yes
No
Increase
15%
Yes
No
Decrease
8%
Yes
No
$11K Vol.
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
June 30, 2027
9%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
5%
Yes
No
$6K Vol.
US GDP growth in Q2 2026?
1.5–2.0%
48%
Yes
No
2.0–2.5%
32%
Yes
No
1.0–1.5%
21%
Yes
No
<1.0%
5%
Yes
No
$24K Vol.
Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?
1.5-2.0%
46%
Yes
No
2.0-2.5%
38%
Yes
No
1.0-1.5%
15%
Yes
No
0.0-0.5%
6%
Yes
No
$35K Vol.
What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
$1.153M - $1.169M
28%
Yes
No
$1.137M - $1.153M
25%
Yes
No
$1.169M - $1.185M
24%
Yes
No
$1.185M - $1.201M
23%
Yes
No
$25K Vol.
Central Bank of Colombia decision in July?
50+ bps increase
94%
Yes
No
25 bps increase
6%
Yes
No
No change
3%
Yes
No
50+ bps decrease
1%
Yes
No
$14K Vol.
What will the median home value in Miami be on September 30?
$1.089M - $1.125M
35%
Yes
No
$1.053M - $1.089M
22%
Yes
No
$1.125M - $1.161M
21%
Yes
No
$1.161M - $1.196M
13%
Yes
No
$36K Vol.
What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?
<$419K
34%
Yes
No
$419K - $426K
30%
Yes
No
$426K - $433K
28%
Yes
No
$433K - $440K
13%
Yes
No
$31K Vol.
+ Combo
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Chance
16%
Yes
16¢
No
85¢
$93K Vol.
How many jobs added in July?
50k – 100k
36%
Yes
No
0 – 50k
22%
Yes
No
150k – 200k
18%
Yes
No
100k – 150k
16%
Yes
No
$17K Vol.
+ Combo
USMCA extended in 2026?
Chance
38%
Yes
38¢
No
63¢
$6K Vol.
Core PCE YoY - June 2026
≤3.3%
80%
Yes
No
3.4%
12%
Yes
No
3.5%
8%
Yes
No
3.6%
1%
Yes
No
$19K Vol.
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
2.8-3.0%
28%
Yes
No
2.5–2.7%
28%
Yes
No
3.1%+
27%
Yes
No
1.9–2.1%
7%
Yes
No
$30K Vol.
Will gas hit __ by end of July?
↑ $4.25
3%
Yes
No
↓ $3.70
2%
Yes
No
↓ $3.60
1%
Yes
No
↑ $4.50
1%
Yes
No
$12K Vol.
China Annual Inflation 2026
0.6 – 1.0%
41%
Yes
No
1.1 – 1.5%
40%
Yes
No
1.6 – 2.0%
8%
Yes
No
0.1 – 0.5%
4%
Yes
No
$64K Vol.
What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?
$446K - $454K
49%
Yes
No
<$446K
33%
Yes
No
$462K - $470K
22%
Yes
No
$470K - $478K
22%
Yes
No
$9K Vol.
+ Combo
US recession by end of 2026?
Chance
12%
Yes
12¢
No
88¢
$1.7M Vol.
What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?
$609K - $636K
33%
Yes
No
$636K - $663K
20%
Yes
No
$582K - $609K
12%
Yes
No
$689K+
11%
Yes
No
$18K Vol.
+ Combo
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Chance
3%
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
$1.0M Vol.
Brazil Annual Inflation 2026
4.50-4.99%
47%
Yes
No
5.00-5.49%
37%
Yes
No
5.50-5.99%
7%
Yes
No
4.00-4.49%
7%
Yes
No
$79K Vol.
Bank of Mexico Decision in September?
No change
90%
Yes
No
25 bps decrease
7%
Yes
No
25 bps increase
1%
Yes
No
50+ bps decrease
0%
Yes
No
$13K Vol.
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