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All Economy
Economy
24 events
Events
Bank of Russia decision in October?
No Change
36%
Yes
No
Decrease
35%
Yes
No
Increase
21%
Yes
No
$2K Vol.
What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
$512K - $518K
45%
Yes
No
$524K - $530K
34%
Yes
No
$536K - $542K
28%
Yes
No
$542K+
28%
Yes
No
$6K Vol.
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
4.3-4.6%
44%
Yes
No
4.6-4.9%
39%
Yes
No
4.0-4.3%
13%
Yes
No
4.9-5.2%
9%
Yes
No
$9K Vol.
Price of Dozen Eggs in July?
$2.00–$2.25
85%
Yes
No
$2.25–$2.50
9%
Yes
No
$1.75–$2.00
8%
Yes
No
$3.00–$3.25
0%
Yes
No
$17K Vol.
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
GlobalFoundries
79%
Yes
No
D-Wave
70%
Yes
No
Rigetti
68%
Yes
No
Unusual Machines
42%
Yes
No
$165K Vol.
Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026?
0.4-0.6%
69%
Yes
No
0.7-0.9%
31%
Yes
No
0.1-0.3%
6%
Yes
No
≤0.0%
4%
Yes
No
$18K Vol.
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - July 2026
52.0–54.9
76%
Yes
No
43.0–45.9
9%
Yes
No
49.0–51.9
8%
Yes
No
≥55.0
7%
Yes
No
$20K Vol.
People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?
No Change
65%
Yes
No
Decrease
37%
Yes
No
Increase
0%
Yes
No
$23K Vol.
Core CPI MoM - July 2026
0.2%
35%
Yes
No
0.1%
26%
Yes
No
0.3%
25%
Yes
No
0.4%
4%
Yes
No
$63K Vol.
+ Combo
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
Chance
42%
Yes
42¢
No
58¢
$47K Vol.
+ Combo
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?
Chance
73%
Yes
73¢
No
28¢
$5K Vol.
+ Combo
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
Chance
30%
Yes
30¢
No
70¢
$66K Vol.
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
No change
76%
Yes
No
25 bps increase
16%
Yes
No
25 bps decrease
6%
Yes
No
50+ bps increase
5%
Yes
No
$2K Vol.
+ Combo
UK Recession in 2026?
Chance
14%
Yes
14¢
No
87¢
$8K Vol.
+ Combo
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
Chance
32%
Yes
32¢
No
69¢
$8K Vol.
+ Combo
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
Chance
56%
Yes
56¢
No
45¢
$60K Vol.
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
Deutsche Bank
4%
Yes
No
JPMorgan Chase
3%
Yes
No
BNP Paribas
3%
Yes
No
US Bank
3%
Yes
No
$69K Vol.
+ Combo
Fed abolished before 2027?
Chance
1%
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
$7K Vol.
GDP growth in 2026
1.5–2.0%
42%
Yes
No
2.0–2.5%
33%
Yes
No
>2.5%
14%
Yes
No
<0.5%
5%
Yes
No
$55K Vol.
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
3.0–3.4%
50%
Yes
No
2.5–2.9%
20%
Yes
No
3.5–3.9%
18%
Yes
No
4.0-4.4%
10%
Yes
No
$14K Vol.
PPI YoY - July 2026
≤5.1%
64%
Yes
No
6.0%+
33%
Yes
No
5.2%
31%
Yes
No
5.3%
4%
Yes
No
$9K Vol.
Core PCE MoM - June 2026
0.2%
61%
Yes
No
0.1%
28%
Yes
No
0.3%
7%
Yes
No
0.5%
5%
Yes
No
$9K Vol.
Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026
≤1.9%
54%
Yes
No
2.0-2.4%
34%
Yes
No
2.5-2.9%
9%
Yes
No
4.0%+
3%
Yes
No
$17K Vol.
+ Combo
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
Chance
5%
Yes
5¢
No
95¢
$32K Vol.
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