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All Economy
Economy
24 events
Events
+ Combo
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
Chance
5%
Yes
5¢
No
95¢
$32K Vol.
Core CPI YoY - July 2026
2.4%
35%
Yes
No
2.5%
26%
Yes
No
2.6%
10%
Yes
No
≤2.2%
7%
Yes
No
$18K Vol.
South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
4.1-4.4%
32%
Yes
No
3.8-4.1%
18%
Yes
No
4.7-5.0%
12%
Yes
No
4.4-4.7%
9%
Yes
No
$31K Vol.
+ Combo
Trump signs housing bill by end of July?
Chance
1%
Yes
1¢
No
99¢
$45K Vol.
+ Combo
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
Chance
6%
Yes
6¢
No
94¢
$457 Vol.
ISM Services PMI - July 2026
54.0–54.9
34%
Yes
No
53.0–53.9
28%
Yes
No
58.0+
21%
Yes
No
52.0–52.9
19%
Yes
No
$8K Vol.
Will Argentina dollarize by...?
December 31, 2026
4%
Yes
No
$40K Vol.
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
5.0%
12%
Yes
No
6.0%
8%
Yes
No
5.5%
7%
Yes
No
7.0%
7%
Yes
No
$470K Vol.
UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
0.2–0.3%
66%
Yes
No
0.0–0.1%
37%
Yes
No
0.4–0.5%
19%
Yes
No
Negative
8%
Yes
No
$17K Vol.
South Korea Annual Inflation 2026
2.7% to 2.9%
38%
Yes
No
3.0%+
22%
Yes
No
2.4% to 2.6%
15%
Yes
No
2.1% to 2.3%
12%
Yes
No
$21K Vol.
+ Combo
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
Chance
34%
Yes
34¢
No
67¢
$18K Vol.
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
0-1.0%
70%
Yes
No
1.0-2.0%
14%
Yes
No
<0%
5%
Yes
No
6.0-7.0%
1%
Yes
No
$26K Vol.
+ Combo
What will be the next Fed rate change?
Chance
52%
Yes
52¢
No
49¢
$474 Vol.
Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
0.0%–0.8%
39%
Yes
No
0.8%–1.6%
35%
Yes
No
-0.8%–0.0%
8%
Yes
No
1.6%–2.4%
8%
Yes
No
$23K Vol.
+ Combo
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
Chance
6%
Yes
6¢
No
95¢
$4K Vol.
Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?
1600.00+
63%
Yes
No
1500.00–1549.99
11%
Yes
No
1550.00–1599.99
11%
Yes
No
1400.00–1449.99
3%
Yes
No
$9K Vol.
Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026
0.4-0.7%
77%
Yes
No
0.8-1.1%
14%
Yes
No
2.0%+
12%
Yes
No
0.0-0.3%
6%
Yes
No
$16K Vol.
ISM Manufacturing PMI - July 2026
53.0–53.9
45%
Yes
No
52.0–52.9
44%
Yes
No
51.0–51.9
38%
Yes
No
55.0–55.9
32%
Yes
No
$3K Vol.
Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)
1600.00–1699.99
52%
Yes
No
<1600.00
32%
Yes
No
1700.00–1799.99
18%
Yes
No
1800.00–1899.99
5%
Yes
No
$20K Vol.
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
GlobalFoundries
80%
Yes
No
D-Wave
70%
Yes
No
Rigetti
68%
Yes
No
Unusual Machines
41%
Yes
No
$165K Vol.
JPMorgan (JPM) closes at $1T+ market cap by…?
October 31
40%
Yes
No
December 31
40%
Yes
No
August 31
23%
Yes
No
$13K Vol.
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
3.0-3.4%
30%
Yes
No
2.0–2.4%
20%
Yes
No
2.5–2.9%
14%
Yes
No
1.0–1.4%
9%
Yes
No
$21K Vol.
Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
↑ 6.75%
79%
Yes
No
↓ 5.90%
50%
Yes
No
↓ 5.50%
46%
Yes
No
↑ 7.00%
34%
Yes
No
$50K Vol.
+ Combo
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
Chance
2%
Yes
2¢
No
98¢
$5K Vol.
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