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All Politics
Politics
24 events
Events
+ Combo
Trump out as President by July 31?
Chance
0%
Yes
0¢
No
100¢
$2.6M Vol.
+ Combo
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Chance
28%
Yes
28¢
No
72¢
$2.9M Vol.
Elon Musk # tweets July 27 - July 29, 2026?
40-64
98%
Yes
No
65-89
2%
Yes
No
90-114
0%
Yes
No
115-139
0%
Yes
No
$616K Vol.
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 2026
93%
Yes
No
September 30, 2026
86%
Yes
No
August 31, 2026
56%
Yes
No
July 31, 2026
7%
Yes
No
$8.5M Vol.
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 15
7%
Yes
No
July 31
2%
Yes
No
$8.5M Vol.
+ Combo
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Chance
10%
Yes
10¢
No
91¢
$23.3M Vol.
Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
December 31
20%
Yes
No
$1.4M Vol.
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland
22%
Yes
No
Qatar
11%
Yes
No
Syria
11%
Yes
No
Jordan
10%
Yes
No
$1.5M Vol.
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
December 31
65%
Yes
No
August 31
27%
Yes
No
September 30
23%
Yes
No
July 31
3%
Yes
No
$6.4M Vol.
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
December 31
9%
Yes
No
July 31
1%
Yes
No
$2.8M Vol.
+ Combo
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Chance
31%
Yes
31¢
No
70¢
$951K Vol.
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)
57%
Yes
No
New People (NL)
35%
Yes
No
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
5%
Yes
No
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
3%
Yes
No
$16.3M Vol.
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
August 31
43%
Yes
No
August 15
24%
Yes
No
August 7
9%
Yes
No
July 31
2%
Yes
No
$7.5M Vol.
+ Combo
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Chance
22%
Yes
22¢
No
79¢
$882K Vol.
Elon Musk # tweets July 28 - August 4, 2026?
160-179
16%
Yes
No
180-199
16%
Yes
No
200-219
16%
Yes
No
220-239
13%
Yes
No
$401K Vol.
Will Tim Walz resign by...?
Before 2027
7%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
$2.6M Vol.
French election called by...?
July 31, 2026
0%
Yes
No
$1.1M Vol.
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-Sayed
77%
Yes
No
Haley Stevens
24%
Yes
No
Mallory McMorrow
0%
Yes
No
Dana Nessel
0%
Yes
No
$1.5M Vol.
+ Combo
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Chance
3%
Yes
3¢
No
97¢
$1.2M Vol.
India strike on Pakistan by...?
December 31, 2026
17%
Yes
No
$976K Vol.
+ Combo
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Chance
4%
Yes
4¢
No
96¢
$39.2M Vol.
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
No Meeting by September 30
31%
Yes
No
Switzerland
25%
Yes
No
Qatar
17%
Yes
No
Pakistan
9%
Yes
No
$3.3M Vol.
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?
September 30
81%
Yes
No
$1.1M Vol.
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 31
12%
Yes
No
September 30
6%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
$28.9M Vol.
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